maybe
i think it's a victory for the obama administration and if he spins it as such and talks about what is actually in obamacare he could very well win
if romney latches onto obama's "promise" to not "raise taxes on the middle class" and proclaims that obamacare is doing that (which is a half truth at best) he could generate a victory similar to how clinton latched onto the "read my lips: no new taxes" promise from bush sr. which many believe cost him his reelection bid.
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Talking about what's actually in Obamacare is the worst thing Obama could do. The liberals are excited about it because they believe it's european style universal coverage, if they found out it's basically a big gift to the insurance companies they hate so much we'd have a lot of very disenfranchised lefties on our hands.
Anyway, I think this is going to energize Romney's base in a way his own lukewarm policies could never do, and light a fire under the people who support him but were on the fence about actually going out and voting. If you thought the tea party was crazy before, just wait, you ain't seen nothing yet. Obama's supporters are going to feel like they've already gotten their victory and there will be less incentive to go out to the polls.
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